基于“水—能源—食物—生态”纽带因果关系和贝叶斯网络的锡尔河流域用水分析

施海洋, 罗格平, 郑宏伟, 陈春波, 白洁, 刘铁

Water use analysis of Syr Darya river basin: Based on "Water-Energy-Food-Ecology" nexus and Bayesian network

SHI Haiyang, LUO Geping, ZHENG Hongwei, CHEN Chunbo, BAI Jie, LIU Tie

表4 基于混淆矩阵的节点“下游总用水量”精度验证

Tab. 4 Accuracy validation of the "Downstream water use" node based on the confusion matrix

实际下游 总用水量(km3) 预测下游总用水量(km3) 33~35 35~37 37~40 行总和 33~35 2 0 1 3 35~37 0 3 1 4 37~40 0 1 2 3 列总和 总体精度(%) 2 4 4 10 70