气候与土地利用变化对汉江流域径流的影响

田晶, 郭生练, 刘德地, 陈启会, 王强, 尹家波, 吴旭树, 何绍坤

Impacts of climate and land use/cover changes on runoff in the Hanjiang River basin

TIAN Jing, GUO Shenglian, LIU Dedi, CHEN Qihui, WANG Qiang, YIN Jiabo, WU Xushu, HE Shaokun

表5 3种情景与基准情景相比的径流变化情况

Tab. 5 Comparison of the runoff between three scenarios and the scenario S0

情景 模拟值(m3/s) 变化率(%) 情景 模拟值(m3/s) 变化率(%) S1_RCP 4.5 1829 +4.95 S2_2020 1744 +0.06 S1_RCP 8.5 1786 +2.47 S2_2030 1745 +0.10 S3_RCP 4.5 1832 +5.10 S2_2040 1756 +0.73 S3_RCP 8.5 1790 +2.67 S2_2050 1744 +0.07