中国省际人口迁移的多边效应机制分析
|
|
蒲英霞, 韩洪凌, 葛莹, 孔繁花
|
Multilateral mechanism analysis of interprovincial migration flows in China
|
|
Yingxia PU, Hongling HAN, Ying GE, Fanhua KONG
|
|
| 表3 江苏省GDP增长5%对主要迁出地和目的地迁移流变化的模拟 |
| Tab. 3 Simulation of the changes in migration flows from and to major regions by from and to major regions by 5% GDP increase in Jiangsu |
|
| 省份 | 迁出地 | 目的地 | | 江苏 | 上海 | 浙江 | 安徽 | 山东 | 河南 | | 江苏 | 上海 | 浙江 | 安徽 | 福建 | 山东 | | 北京 | -1261 | -17 | -54 | -142 | -285 | -20 | 236 | 55 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 15 | | 天津 | -468 | -5 | -19 | -46 | -240 | -7 | 147 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | | 河北 | -241 | -2 | -12 | -18 | -65 | 4 | 1409 | 161 | 45 | 18 | 1 | 250 | | 山西 | -227 | -1 | -11 | -15 | -22 | -8 | 851 | 108 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 63 | | 内蒙古 | -215 | -1 | -10 | -13 | -33 | -4 | 346 | 57 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 94 | | 辽宁 | -285 | -3 | -13 | -25 | -57 | -4 | 611 | 151 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 93 | | 吉林 | -92 | -2 | -6 | -7 | -21 | -1 | 671 | 141 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 222 | | 黑龙江 | -123 | -2 | -5 | -8 | -30 | -1 | 1156 | 237 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 487 | | 上海 | -11365 | 0 | 2258 | 5464 | 703 | 1845 | 1431 | 0 | -47 | -1 | -4 | 2 | | 江苏 | 0 | 1431 | 4706 | 44101 | 7010 | 17109 | 0 | -11365 | -2505 | -799 | -272 | -972 | | 浙江 | -2505 | -47 | 0 | 2176 | 114 | 1295 | 4706 | 2258 | 0 | 32 | -41 | 51 | | 安徽 | -799 | -1 | 32 | 0 | 12 | 106 | 44101 | 5464 | 2176 | 0 | -50 | 164 | | 福建 | -272 | -4 | -41 | -50 | -15 | 20 | 2328 | 646 | 234 | 23 | 0 | 42 | | 江西 | -169 | -7 | -26 | -19 | -7 | 3 | 4455 | 1200 | 2215 | 43 | 167 | 36 | | 山东 | -972 | 2 | 51 | 164 | 0 | 501 | 7010 | 703 | 114 | 12 | -15 | 0 | | 河南 | -209 | -3 | -11 | -22 | -33 | 0 | 17109 | 1845 | 1295 | 106 | 20 | 501 | | 湖北 | -247 | -5 | -21 | -27 | -13 | 4 | 6711 | 967 | 957 | 53 | 31 | 93 | | 湖南 | -117 | -3 | -14 | -9 | -8 | -1 | 3391 | 547 | 806 | 28 | 24 | 39 | | 广东 | -818 | -13 | -68 | -147 | -72 | -47 | 745 | 189 | 50 | 11 | 9 | 19 | | 广西 | -92 | -2 | -16 | -10 | -7 | -2 | 761 | 118 | 151 | 7 | 7 | 10 | | 海南 | -62 | -1 | -5 | -7 | -4 | -1 | 98 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | | 重庆 | -104 | -3 | -11 | -5 | -7 | -1 | 2986 | 546 | 642 | 14 | 43 | 29 | | 四川 | -199 | -6 | -21 | -10 | -15 | -2 | 10866 | 1499 | 1350 | 38 | 88 | 103 | | 贵州 | -100 | -2 | -14 | -7 | -6 | -1 | 4602 | 355 | 1630 | 28 | 50 | 29 | | 云南 | -103 | -3 | -20 | -8 | -7 | -2 | 2357 | 168 | 448 | 25 | 11 | 53 | | 西藏 | -9 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | | 陕西 | -217 | -3 | -15 | -14 | -20 | -8 | 3456 | 302 | 182 | 14 | 6 | 58 | | 甘肃 | -121 | -2 | -10 | -5 | -7 | -2 | 1699 | 228 | 68 | 6 | 2 | 50 | | 青海 | -84 | 0 | -4 | -4 | -5 | -2 | 231 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 15 | | 宁夏 | -61 | 0 | -4 | -6 | -7 | -2 | 117 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | | 新疆 | -335 | -5 | -13 | -28 | -27 | -16 | 358 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 28 | | 合计 | -21873 | 1290 | 6600 | 51250 | 6824 | 20757 | 124975 | 6756 | 10033 | -296 | 87 | 1603 |
|
|
|