中国省际人口迁移的多边效应机制分析
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蒲英霞, 韩洪凌, 葛莹, 孔繁花
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Multilateral mechanism analysis of interprovincial migration flows in China
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Yingxia PU, Hongling HAN, Ying GE, Fanhua KONG
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| 表2 2005-2010年中国省际人口迁移重力模型和空间OD模型的估计结果 |
| Tab. 2 Estimates for gravity and spatial OD model of interprovincial migration flows in China, 2005-2010 |
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| 变量 | 重力模型 | | 空间OD模型 | | 系数 | | t值 | 系数 | t值 | 多边效应 | t值 | | const | -1.0026 | -0.5529 | | -2.6240* | -1.6877 | -3.2204 | -1.4902 | | D_pop | -0.2527 | -1.7736 | -0.0142 | -0.1232 | -0.0314 | -0.7387 | | D_GDP | 0.5587*** | 3.9851 | 0.2076* | 1.8285 | 0.4579*** | 5.2578 | | D_wage | 1.0361*** | 4.7452 | 0.5564*** | 3.1511 | 1.2269*** | 6.7115 | | D_uemp | -0.5202*** | -3.3278 | -0.3058** | -2.4435 | -0.6744*** | -3.8168 | | D_stu | -0.4109*** | -3.2120 | -0.3004*** | -2.9186 | -0.6626*** | -6.5182 | | D_flows | 0.5262*** | 9.0630 | 0.3834*** | 7.8925 | 0.8454*** | 12.2943 | | O_pop | 0.9158*** | 6.3453 | 0.4422*** | 3.5926 | 0.9751*** | 13.0867 | | O_GDP | -0.3522*** | -3.0305 | -0.0813 | -0.8283 | -0.1792** | -2.2690 | | O_wage | -0.5262** | -2.2819 | -0.5571*** | -2.9173 | -1.2285*** | -6.8218 | | O_uemp | 0.1458 | 0.9810 | -0.1164 | -0.9590 | -0.2567 | -1.4547 | | O_stu | -0.0478 | -0.3876 | -0.1515 | -1.5279 | -0.3340*** | -3.4703 | | O_flows | 0.3550*** | 7.3797 | 0.1823*** | 4.5848 | 0.4020*** | 9.8791 | | Distance | -1.1374*** | -23.3270 | -0.6375** | -13.4866 | -1.4058*** | -19.9182 | | ρo | | | 0.3796*** | 14.4158 | | | | ρd | | | 0.3705*** | 14.2417 | | | | ρw | | | -0.2030*** | -5.9458 | | | | Log-LIK | -822.86 | | 652.70 | | | | | AIC | 1673.72 | | 1339.40 | | | |
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