多因素耦合下三峡库区土地利用未来情景模拟

邓华, 邵景安, 王金亮, 高明, 魏朝富

Land use driving forces and its future scenario simulation in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area using CLUE-S model

Hua DENG, Jing'an SHAO, Jinliang WANG, Ming GAO, Chaofu WEI

表3 2010年各土地利用类型的Auto-Logistic回归结果

Tab. 3 Results of auto-logistic regression for different land use types in 2010

编码 水田 旱地 林地 草地 建设用地 水域 Bata 系数 Exp (B) Bata 系数 Exp (B) Bata 系数 Exp (B) Bata 系数 Exp (B) Bata 系数 Exp (B) Bata 系数 Exp (B) sc1gr0 -0.0008 0.9992 -0.0005 0.9995 0.0003 1.0003 0.0003 1.0003 -0.0038 0.9962 -0.003 0.997 sc1gr1 -0.0452 0.9558 - - 0.0217 1.0219 - - - - - - sc1gr2 0.001 1.001 - - -0.0007 0.999 - - - - - - sc1gr3 -0.001 0.999 - - - - - - - - - - sc1gr4 - - - - 0.1485 1.1601 - - - - - - sc1gr5 - - - - - - - - - - - - sc1gr6 - - 0.00001 1 -0.00001 0.99999 - - -0.0005 0.9995 - - sc1gr7 - - 0.00001 1 - - - - - - -0.008 0.992 sc1gr8 - - -0.00001 1 - - - - - - - - sc1gr9 -7.95 0.0004 - - 2.4797 11.9375 -29.5009 0 - - - - sc1gr10 0.0085 1.0086 - - - - 0.0131 1.0132 -0.0094 0.9906 - - sc1gr11 - - - - - - -0.0001 0.9999 - - - - sc1gr12 - - - - 0.0005 1.0005 - - - - - - sc1gr13 - - - - - - 0.2594 1.2961 - - - - Lyfd0 0.738 2.0918 - - - - - - - - - - Lyfd1 - - 1.4647 4.3261 - - 0.2414 1.273 - - - - Lyfd2 -0.2814 0.7547 - — 3.1686 23.7745 - - - - - - Lyfd3 - - 0.0616 1.0636 - - 1.0544 2.8702 - - - - Lyfd4 - - - - - - - - 0.0952 1.0999 - - Lyfd5 -0.028 0.9723 - - - - - - - - 0.114 1.121 常量 -1.258 0.2841 -2.8154 0.0599 -6.429 0.0016 -3.838 0.022 -2.269 0.103 0.851 2.342 ROC值 0.91 0.842 0.885 0.903 0.989 0.997