东南沿海前汛期降水极值变化特征及归因分析

黄婕, 高路, 陈兴伟, 陈莹, 刘梅冰

Variation of extreme precipitation and its causes during the first rainy season in the southeast coastal region of China

Jie HUANG, Lu GAO, Xingwei CHEN, Ying CHEN, Meibing LIU

表2 东南沿海代表站点GAMLSS模型拟合参数及拟合残差

Tab. 2 Fitting parameters and residuals of GAMLSS model at the representative stations in the southeast coastal region

站点 最优分布 AIC值 均值 方差 偏态系数 峰度系数 Filliben系数 杭州 IGAMMA 487.63 0.003 1.01 -0.03 1.88 0.984 浦城 IGAMMA 514.22 0.008 1.01 -0.18 2.29 0.992 韶关 IG 516.03 -0.015 1.01 -0.10 2.37 0.996 增城 IG 517.38 0.006 1.02 0.03 2.04 0.984 阳江 SN2 620.74 -0.151 1.17 0.34 2.15 0.983 高要 IG 531.01 0.017 1.03 0.15 2.29 0.995