地理学报 ›› 2012, Vol. 67 ›› Issue (2): 147-156.doi: 10.11821/xb201202001
• 城市与区域发展 • 下一篇
刘卫东1,2, 刘红光1,2, 范晓梅3, 陈杰4, 唐志鹏1,2
收稿日期:
2011-10-18
修回日期:
2011-11-29
出版日期:
2012-02-20
发布日期:
2012-02-20
基金资助:
LIU Weidong1,2, LIU Hongguang1,2, FAN Xiaomei3, CHEN Jie4, TANG Zhipeng1,2
Received:
2011-10-18
Revised:
2011-11-29
Online:
2012-02-20
Published:
2012-02-20
Supported by:
摘要: 通过深入剖析区域间经济联系的经济地理学理论基础,考虑到同业影响因子,重新构建引力模型,并引入空间滞后因子,利用地理加权回归方法建立了估算区域间贸易流量的产业—空间统计模型,并在中国30 个省区投入产出表的基础上,以省区间农业、化工、通信电子3 个产业贸易流量的估算为例对上述方法进行了说明。结果表明:① 空间统计模型的应用可以显著提高区域间贸易流量的估算可靠性;② 随着空间权函数中带宽的缩小,贸易流量显得更加集中。因此,带宽在一定程度上反映了地理活动的空间集聚程度,不同行业应选取不同带宽;③ 不同行业有不同的同业影响机制和贸易特征,农业输出地以中部地区为主,目的地以沿海地区为主,具有一定的同业竞争关系,而化工、通信行业的产业流动主要发生在东部地区内部,具有很强的同业合作关系。
刘卫东, 刘红光, 范晓梅, 陈杰, 唐志鹏. 地区间贸易流量的产业—空间模型构建与应用[J]. 地理学报, 2012, 67(2): 147-156.
LIU Weidong, LIU Hongguang, FAN Xiaomei, CHEN Jie, TANG Zhipeng. Sector-Specific Spatial Statistic Model for Estimating Inter-regional Trade Flows: A Case Study of Agricultural, Chemical and Electronic Sectors in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012, 67(2): 147-156.
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