地理学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 72 ›› Issue (10): 1845-1858.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201710009
曲衍波1(), 姜广辉2(
), 张佰林3, 李慧燕1, 魏淑文1
收稿日期:
2016-11-09
修回日期:
2017-02-21
出版日期:
2017-11-10
发布日期:
2017-11-06
作者简介:
作者简介:曲衍波(1982-), 男, 博士, 副教授, 硕士生导师, 主要从事土地利用转型与乡村发展研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Yanbo QU1(), Guanghui JIANG2(
), Bailin ZHANG3, Huiyan LI1, Shuwen WEI1
Received:
2016-11-09
Revised:
2017-02-21
Published:
2017-11-10
Online:
2017-11-06
Supported by:
摘要:
为探究农村居民点转型的空间结构及其与经济发展的关联性,以山东省为例,基于农村宅基地转型的理论假设与测度方法,运用空间关联分析方法研究农村居民点转型的空间布局和集聚特征,并以人均GDP作为特征指标划分各县级行政区的经济发展梯度,从省级全域层面和“点、线、面”特征单元综合的角度,揭示农村居民点转型与经济发展的相关性及其耦合关系。结果显示,在空间分布上,2005-2014年山东省农村居民点转型指数呈现西高东低和南高北低的态势;在全局趋势上,Moran's I指数达到0.6317,说明农村居民点转型存在显著的空间集聚现象;在局部趋势上,农村居民点转型的热点区和次热点区集中分布在鲁西黄泛平原、鲁西南淮河平原以及鲁中沂蒙山区,次冷点区分布在次热点区外围,冷点区分布在胶东丘陵地区和鲁北黄河三角洲地带;在相关性分析上,农村居民点转型与经济发展水平具有明显的数理统计相关性和空间耦合性,无论是全域层面还是特征单元,农村居民点转型均表现出从低级到高级经济梯度的递减规律、且乘幂变化趋势显著。本文探索了农村居民点转型的空间特征,弥补了土地利用转型空间性分析的不足;同时研究结果也较好地验证了前人提出的理论假设。
曲衍波, 姜广辉, 张佰林, 李慧燕, 魏淑文. 山东省农村居民点转型的空间特征及其经济梯度分异[J]. 地理学报, 2017, 72(10): 1845-1858.
Yanbo QU, Guanghui JIANG, Bailin ZHANG, Huiyan LI, Shuwen WEI. Spatial characteristics of rural residential land transition and its economic gradient differentiation[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(10): 1845-1858.
表2
经济发展与农村居民转型的相关系数
年份 | 2005年 | 2006年 | 2007年 | 2008年 | 2009年 | 2010年 | 2011年 | 2012年 | 2013年 | 2014年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
r | -0.6014** | -0.5347** | -0.6118** | -0.6543** | -0.3184* | -0.4532* | -0.2654* | -0.4894** | -0.5023** | -0.5542** |
Moran's I | -0.3221 | -0.3875 | -0.4012 | -0.4196 | -0.0808 | -0.1738 | -0.0475 | -0.2189 | -0.2579 | -0.3037 |
P值 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 | 0.0826 | 0.0010 | 0.1453 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 |
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